{"product_id":"everything-is-predictable","title":"Everything Is Predictable","description":"\u003ch4 class=\"a-spacing-none a-text-normal\"\u003e\u003cspan id=\"productTitle\" class=\"a-size-large celwidget\" data-csa-c-id=\"mkifka-awy9nf-cqk953-wdrg1x\"\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/h4\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-size-large celwidget\" data-csa-c-id=\"mkifka-awy9nf-cqk953-wdrg1x\"\u003e\u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-size-large celwidget\" data-csa-c-id=\"mkifka-awy9nf-cqk953-wdrg1x\"\u003e'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting' \u003c\/span\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-size-large celwidget\" data-csa-c-id=\"mkifka-awy9nf-cqk953-wdrg1x\"\u003e\u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003eOliver Burkeman\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cbr\u003e'A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem' \u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003eWill Storrs\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cbr\u003e'Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you' \u003cspan class=\"a-text-bold\"\u003eTim Harford\u003c\/span\u003e\u003cbr\u003eThomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.\u003cbr\u003eBayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Super forecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain.\u003cbr\u003eFusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, \u003cspan class=\"a-text-italic\"\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/span\u003e is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.\u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eIt Is Published By : \u003cspan\u003eHachette India\u003c\/span\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Akshardhara Book Gallery","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":50914352234818,"sku":"9781399604055","price":629.0,"currency_code":"INR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0800\/1214\/9058\/files\/87EverythingisPredictable-F.jpg?v=1750162616","url":"https:\/\/akshardhara.com\/products\/everything-is-predictable","provider":"Akshardhara Book Gallery","version":"1.0","type":"link"}